As you can see, Google predicts 40 conversions (leads – phone calls, emails, contact forms) per month for Tampa metro area. Average cost per action (CPA, or lead) is estimated to be $230 for a total cost of $9,300.
Several important points I would like to stress:
- Although these data come straight from Google and are based on historic data and performance, reality is often different from estimates. At any rate, Google data is a good starting point.
- I published a study aggregating CPA (cost per acquisition, or lead) for injury law firms. It’s worth at least browsing through it to get an even deeper understanding of what to expect and to get familiar with industry standards.
- CTR (click-through-rate, or how often people click your ad) of 1.4% seems low. From my experience, I would expect it to be higher, closer to 2.0-2.5%. In this case the number of leads would almost double.
- Average CPC (cost per click) seems on the low end. On the other hand, Google uses 5.32% Conversion rate (percentage of clicks that turn into a lead), which, based on my experience, is also conservative. With proper campaign setup and website optimization for leads, I would expect at least 10% conversion rate, and would aim even higher. I’ve had Google Ads Search campaigns with 40% conversion rates. It takes knowledge, experience, proper Analytics setup, data, website optimization for leads, A/B testing, and continuous campaign monitoring and adjustments based on incoming data, but, as one popular Stoic book argues – obstacle is the way. Perseverance does pay off.
- In this forecast, Google uses Maximize Conversions bidding strategy, which does exactly that – maximizes the number of conversions/leads without taking cost per lead into account. From my experience, this strategy isn’t optimal; I would recommend using other smart bidding options – Target CPA, where you set the maximum you are willing to pay per lead, is my favorite and works really well. The downside is that it takes a month and 30-50 conversions for Google algorithms to have enough data to make this strategy work.
Let’s see what happens to cost per action (lead, or CPA) and number of conversions (leads) when conversion rate is a) 5.32% (original Google forecast), b) 10% (realistic), and c) 15% (doable).